Do you know about statistics?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Kraggy
LOL, do you have the first clue about statistics and determining their validity with respect to population size, population selection and so on?
The percentage of posters on the forums who agree with you proves nothing. The percentage of posters in-game who agree with you proves nothing.
By themselves these are meaningless 'facts', totally unrelated one to the other and also totally useless when trying to form an accurate view of the players' attitude to this as a whole.
Ouch. You should ask yourself your own question kraggy. One of the main purposes of statistics is to analyze a sample and make inferences on it with regard to the population from which it was taken. Why? Because it's often impossible to sample the whole population. Firefox uses a sample from which to base his statements on. Now this sample may not be the most ideal sample taken of the population, but it is a sample nonetheless. As a result your attack on him is not only misdirected but actually definitively wrong. If you indeed know about statistics you'll clearly know that terms like 'proves' and 'facts' have no real place when describing them. In addition to call something 'totally unrelated' when it is indeed a sample of the population concerned about is very odd. As a result your last sentence (quoted above) is completely perplexing, so i will ask you this: if these samples already spoken about are ''totally useless when trying to form and accurate view'' as you say, then by default you must know of some samples that Firefox, yourself and others can readily get their hands on that are useful. And furthermore, the very fact that you can so clearly state which samples are 'utterly useless' and which are not with such complete absolution must mean that you know about the population makeup already. For evidently - as you know all about statistics - you wouldn't make such bold statements - i.e. your sample is useless - about what is and what is not relevant without having any data/information of your own to share. So please share.
And yes, i am in support of some way to throttle/halt my experience gain. There is absolutely no reason why this shouldn't be put in, as it's such an idea that will have zero effect on anyone in game that does not want to use it. You can't get any better than that, it's a win-win for everyone both for and against it.
Re: Do you know about statistics?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Ruthelia
One of the main purposes of statistics is to analyze a sample and make inferences on it with regard to the population from which it was taken.
Yes, but if it's a small and non-random sample, the margins of error go through the roof. That's the big problem with fan-run polls, threads on forums, etc. The total sample size is tiny, and there are major self-selection issues. As I've said before, I've seen two fan-run polls with 100+ responses each where completely opposite results "won" by greater than 2:1 margins -- on the same forum, and at the same time!
That's why we've heard developers talk about trying to validate forum feedback with company-run surveys, data mining, etc. They're less likely to get a false reading that way (at least in most cases).
Khafar
Re: Do you know about statistics?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Ruthelia
One of the main purposes of statistics is to analyze a sample and make inferences on it with regard to the population from which it was taken. Why? Because it's often impossible to sample the whole population.
And this is why ALL statistics are only marginally useful at best.
When it comes down to it, none of the opinions here matter. If a Dev says that IT'S JUST NOT WORTH IT then that is that. The Devs know what they are working on for the game and what they want to work on in the future for the game and if they think that implementing this feature will take away too much time or resources from the other projects that they think are more important to the game, then that's really all that matters.
Re: Do you know about statistics?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Ruthelia
if these samples already spoken about are ''totally useless when trying to form and accurate view'' as you say, then by default you must know of some samples that Firefox, yourself and others can readily get their hands on that are useful.
I don't have to, I'm not the one making assertions of 'fact' and demanding Turbine take action based on faulty statistics, but my answer to you is I don't think they exist.
The fact you don't see the fatal flaws in your arguments in favor of your flawed statistics makes it pretty futile for me to try to educate you, suffice to say those who are in a position to act on this matter will also see these flaws.
Hint: population size and selection are the critical aspects here, both forum posters and in-game responders to your shouts are self-selecting and therefore of dubious value.
Re: Do you know about statistics?
Quote:
Originally Posted by
Kraggy
I don't have to, I'm not the one making assertions of 'fact' and demanding Turbine take action based on faulty statistics, but my answer to you is I don't think they exist.
The fact you don't see the fatal flaws in your arguments in favor of your flawed statistics makes it pretty futile for me to try to educate you, suffice to say those who are in a position to act on this matter will also see these flaws.
Hint: population size and selection are the critical aspects here, both forum posters and in-game responders to your shouts are self-selecting and therefore of dubious value.
You're not! Wonderful. But tell me.... who IS making assertions of 'fact' and demanding Turbine take action based on faulty statistics?
As your post is a response to a response of yours to a post of mine, I can only assume you a referring to my statement that the majority of respondents in an in-game chat on this topic were in favor of it. I made no claims of fact as to how that relates to what total numbers or total percent of players would like this feature. Only that I THOUGHT my observation indicated that such players were less likely to be posting in the forums. So even THAT off hand 'conclusion' was prefaced by a qualifier.
At any rate the simple fact of the matter which was being represented was that only a very small percentage of the people who would actually like this feature are (or have) posted in the forums in regard to it. And though I have no specific data to back that up, I can reasonably conclude that statistically that is the case. And I've not said that had any relation to total numbers or percentages?